31/07/2011 | En Parrilla
Early Failure of the Global System
It's impossible to fully measure the impact of disruptive attack on a complex system until it actually plays out. Why? There might be hidden negative or positive feedback loops in the system that either dampen or accelerate the initial damage of the disruptive attack. That's the problem with the fight in the US Congress over the debt ceiling. The system that is being upset is soooo complex that we don't have a clue what the damage will be or how much damage has already been done until it plays out.
................................................................................................................................ |
20/03/2007 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
More Conversations, Less Powerpoint
A curious fact about the American military, and American private industry, in the early 21st century is their insistence on holding formal meetings. The practice is curious because these same institutions spend a great deal of time and effort studying "good management," which should recognize what most participants in such meetings see, namely that they are a waste of time.
................................................................................................................................ |
15/12/2006 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
Military Matters: Denying reality on Iraq
Last week, the Iraq Study Group Report burst upon a breathless world, and proved to be an empty piņata. None of its recommendations to the U.S. government has the slightest chance of reversing the course of the war in Iraq.
................................................................................................................................ |
15/12/2006 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
Military Matters: Denying reality on Iraq
Last week, the Iraq Study Group Report burst upon a breathless world, and proved to be an empty piņata. None of its recommendations to the U.S. government has the slightest chance of reversing the course of the war in Iraq.
................................................................................................................................ |
17/12/2005 | Inteligencia y Seguridad
Outside View: The art of leaving Iraq
The main question about the war in Iraq was never whether it would go well or go badly. The question was whether it would go bad fast or go bad slowly. So far, it has gone bad slowly, which was always the greater probability.
................................................................................................................................ |
