Respect for law in the country is traditionally scant, while there is no end in sight to Americans' appetite for illicit drug imports.
There's good news and bad news on the war on drugs in
Mexico and the United States. The good news: cooperation between U.S. and
Mexican security forces has rarely been closer. "Unprecedented,"
President Barack Obama termed it in a message of sympathy for 52 people killed
in an arson attack on a casino in northern Mexico.
The unprecedented cooperation he referred to ranges from
the U.S. providing intelligence from wiretaps and aerial surveillance by U.S.
drones to taking part in planning operations to capture drug lords.
American agents, according to accounts from both sides of
the border, had a role in hunting down 21 of the 37 men on Mexico's list of
most-wanted organized crime chiefs.
The bad news is that closer cooperation in taking out the
CEOs of illicit business enterprises has done little to curb violence in Mexico
or throttle the flow of drugs north and the smuggling of guns and cash south.
One CEO goes, another one steps in his place. Real change would require an
admission by political leaders that conventional drug war strategies have
failed and, more important, that there's a need for significant societal
changes in both countries.
In the U.S., millions would need to stop snorting,
sniffing or injecting the drugs produced in Latin America and smuggled across
the 3,200-km border with Mexico. In Mexico, deeply rooted traditions resistant
to assistance from outside allow crime syndicates to flourish - acceptance of
corruption as a way of life and "dreadfully little respect for the
law," in the words of former Mexican foreign minister Jorge Castaneda.
In an insightful new book - Manana Forever: Mexico and
the Mexicans - he writes that "Mexico has no way out of its drug wars,
unless it changes its attitudes towards the law. This is not occurring."
Statistics tell the story of the drug wars' failure on
both sides of the border. In the U.S., where president Richard Nixon declared
"war on drugs" 40 years ago, they are at least as easily available
now as they were then. The laws of supply and demand proved more powerful than
progressively harsher enforcement.
"The market forces of replacement and adaptation
make the drug-dealing industry resilient even in the face of heavy
enforcement," Mark Kleiman, a widely respected drug policy expert, writes
in a thoughtful essay in the latest issue of Foreign Affairs magazine.
"The U.S. sends five times as many drug dealers to
prison today as it did 30 years ago, but this has not prevented the 80to 90-per-cent
reductions in the prices of cocaine and heroin over that time, which came as a
result of falling dealers' wages and increased efficiency in trafficking."
Numbers tell a similarly bleak story in Mexico, where
President Felipe Calderon declared war on his country's drug traffickers and
sent the military into action after taking office in 2006.
That opened the bloodiest chapter in Mexico's history
since the 1910-20 revolution. By the end of 2007, the body count stood at
4,300. It climbed steadily: 5,400 in 2008, 9,600 in 2009, 15,000 in 2010 and
about 7,000 this year.
The government long insisted that criminals killing other
criminals in often gruesome ways (beheadings became commonplace) accounted for
around 90 per cent of the dead, soldiers five per cent and innocent civilians
the rest.
That account glossed over an enormous wave of common
crime, from murder and kidnapping to the protection racket apparently behind
the Monterrey casino attack.
The criminal-on-criminal storyline died on Aug. 25, when
gunmen set fire to Monterrey's Casino Royale. Of the 52 people who died, 42
were bingo-playing middle-class women, most asphyxiated when they found the
emergency exits locked.
The casino had been ordered closed by the Monterrey
mayor's office for various code violations, but a local judge reversed the move
and ordered the place reopened.
Like many of the casinos that sprouted during Calderon's
presidency - from 198 in 2006 to 790 now, according to the magazine Proceso -
its functions are said to have included laundering dirty money.
As he has done frequently, Calderon took the casino
attack as an opportunity to rebuke the U.S. for not doing enough to
"drastically reduce" Americans' consumption of drugs and curb the
flow of cash and guns from to Mexico.
But in a speech Saturday, he also listed what he called
the most important challenge facing his government: "Repair the fabric of
society torn by lack of opportunity for the young, the disintegration of
families and the loss of values."
That will take time and meanwhile, the drug wars
continue. Could the wars be waged more effectively? Yes, says Kleiman, in his
Foreign Affairs essay headlined "Surgical strikes in the drug wars."
Kleiman, a professor of public policy at UCLA, offers an
unorthodox idea for Mexico: rather than fight all criminal groups with equal
force at the same time, publicly identify the most violent through a scoring
system taking into account the overall number of its killings, its targets
(dealers, enforcement agents, ordinary citizens, journalists, community leaders
etc.), and kidnappings.
Then, wipe out that group and start the process again,
going after the next group.
"The process could continue until none of the
remaining groups was notably more violent than the rest.
Such a strategy would condition the traffickers' ability
to remain in business on their willingness to conduct their affairs in a
relatively nonviolent fashion."
Wishful thinking? Perhaps. But so is the idea that there
is a way to stop people from using drugs.