Inteligencia y Seguridad Frente Externo En Profundidad Economia y Finanzas Transparencia
  En Parrilla Medio Ambiente Sociedad High Tech Contacto
Frente Externo  
 
29/04/2012 | Iran - Opinion: Fishing for deals

Editorial

Iran and its nuclear program haven’t left the news in recent months, but in the wake of a recent meeting in Ankara on the topic, the chatter has begun to move in intriguing, but expected, directions.

 

Washington maintains that sanctions against Tehran represent the best way to pressure the Islamic Republic, and Iranian leaders, according to recent media reports, appear to believe this as well.

Iran is mulling a proposal by Russia to halt the expansion of its nuclear program, in a bid to avoid new sanctions by the EU, which could come into effect in July.

Such statements aren’t much of a surprise, coming a week or so after a meeting in Turkey between Iranian officials and representatives of the “P5+1” group of countries, to deal with Tehran’s nuclear program.

The actual results of these talks weren’t publicized, but the latest ideas being floated indicate that politicians are once again trying to see whether deals can be made.

The latest comment by Israel’s top military official adds a new element to the mix. Chief of staff Benny Gantz told a newspaper that he didn’t think Iran would actually build a nuclear bomb, and that the Iranian leadership was full of rational individuals. Gantz gave a thumbs-up to the campaign of political pressure and economic sanctions on the regime in Tehran, predicting that the policy would eventually bear fruit.

The comments represent a clear divergence with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who has openly campaigned against the effectiveness of sanctions.

After months of a rising chorus of voices in the U.S. and Israel, casting doubt on any possibility of resolving the stand-off amicably, Gantz’s comments represent a sharp climb-down.

The world has been treated to a steady stream of rhetoric about the danger posed by Iran, and this has only made a jittery region more nervous. Suddenly, the notion that sanctions might work, and that leaders in Tehran behave according to the same type of calculations that are used elsewhere, gains ground.

The verbal threats and posturing unleashed by world leaders were probably sincere, but didn’t represent the only game in town, since key players undoubtedly prefer to resolve the dispute through negotiations. As people know, the value of a military confrontation between Iran and the international community has been challenged by many skeptics, and the economic fallout from such a step could prove disastrous not only for the Middle East, but for the global economy as a whole.

The principals in this drama are playing the game as expected, namely based on their political calculations, and not an open-ended commitment to bringing down the Iranian regime. Those in the region who bank on such apocalyptic scenarios should pay close attention to the issue as more and more trial balloons are floated.

The Daily Star-Lebanon (Libano)

 


Otras Notas Relacionadas... ( Records 1 to 10 of 44132 )
fecha titulo
06/04/2020 Argentina - ¿Una guerra de todos?
06/04/2020 El nuevo mundo de los corona-zombies
28/03/2020 Enfoque: La transición no tan silenciosa
25/03/2020 Agentina - Informe de Coyuntura semanal (versión corta) al 24 de marzo sobre la situación política y económica argentina
22/02/2019 Análisis de coyuntura: El plan RenovAr estructural en la política climática
22/02/2019 How Belt and Road Is Upending the Beijing Consensus
31/01/2019 South Korea’s Hydrogen Economy Ambitions
15/01/2019 Una verdad incómoda
09/01/2019 2019: nubes en el horizonte para las energías renovables en A. Latina
26/12/2018 Análisis: El cambio climático revitaliza la opción nuclear


Otras Notas del Autor
fecha
Título
29/02/2020|
11/12/2018|
06/11/2018|
05/11/2018|
15/10/2018|
17/09/2018|
10/09/2018|
08/09/2018|
05/09/2018|
09/06/2018|
08/06/2018|
31/05/2018|
31/05/2018|
28/05/2018|
18/08/2017|
20/06/2017|
09/05/2017|
08/05/2017|
08/05/2017|
07/05/2017|
28/04/2017|
25/07/2016|
24/07/2016|
16/07/2016|
10/07/2016|
09/07/2016|
11/06/2016|
29/04/2016|
09/04/2016|
04/12/2015|
13/09/2015|
11/05/2015|
30/03/2015|
17/12/2014|
17/12/2014|
25/11/2014|
22/11/2014|
17/11/2014|
16/11/2014|
16/11/2014|
24/10/2014|
23/10/2014|
19/03/2014|
30/12/2013|
27/12/2013|
02/11/2013|
27/10/2013|
27/10/2013|
19/10/2013|
14/10/2013|
12/10/2013|
23/09/2013|
23/09/2013|
22/09/2013|
22/09/2013|
16/09/2013|
16/09/2013|
25/08/2013|
22/08/2013|
17/08/2013|
15/08/2013|
29/07/2013|
24/07/2013|
20/07/2013|
12/07/2013|
05/03/2013|
30/12/2012|
06/11/2012|
13/09/2012|
08/09/2012|
31/08/2012|
29/08/2012|
08/08/2012|
07/08/2012|
06/08/2012|
05/08/2012|
05/08/2012|
01/08/2012|
01/08/2012|
31/07/2012|
31/07/2012|
30/07/2012|
30/07/2012|
30/07/2012|
29/07/2012|
29/07/2012|
29/07/2012|
26/07/2012|
25/07/2012|
25/07/2012|
25/07/2012|
23/07/2012|
23/07/2012|
22/07/2012|
19/07/2012|
10/07/2012|
10/07/2012|
09/07/2012|
07/07/2012|
06/07/2012|
02/07/2012|
02/07/2012|
01/07/2012|
28/06/2012|
26/06/2012|
26/06/2012|
25/06/2012|
18/06/2012|
16/06/2012|
09/06/2012|
24/05/2012|
18/05/2012|
02/05/2012|
26/04/2012|
21/04/2012|
26/03/2012|
25/03/2012|
25/03/2012|
20/03/2012|
20/03/2012|
19/03/2012|
19/03/2012|
19/03/2012|
19/03/2012|
12/03/2012|
12/03/2012|
11/03/2012|
11/03/2012|
11/03/2012|
11/03/2012|
06/03/2012|
06/03/2012|
29/02/2012|
29/02/2012|
29/02/2012|
26/02/2012|
26/02/2012|
26/02/2012|
26/02/2012|
26/02/2012|
26/02/2012|
25/02/2012|
25/02/2012|
25/02/2012|
22/02/2012|
22/02/2012|
22/02/2012|
21/02/2012|
21/02/2012|
21/02/2012|
24/10/2011|
23/10/2011|
22/10/2011|
21/10/2011|
16/10/2011|
29/09/2011|
29/09/2011|
28/09/2011|
26/09/2011|
07/09/2011|
07/09/2011|
05/09/2011|
05/09/2011|
03/09/2011|
03/09/2011|
30/08/2011|
30/08/2011|
30/08/2011|
30/08/2011|
16/08/2011|
16/08/2011|
10/08/2011|
01/08/2011|
31/07/2011|
24/07/2011|
20/07/2011|
20/07/2011|
17/07/2011|
17/07/2011|
12/07/2011|
12/07/2011|
11/07/2011|
11/07/2011|
11/07/2011|
11/07/2011|
11/07/2011|
04/07/2011|
04/07/2011|
02/07/2011|
02/07/2011|
02/07/2011|
02/07/2011|
02/07/2011|
02/07/2011|
19/06/2011|
19/06/2011|
19/05/2011|
19/05/2011|
16/05/2011|
16/05/2011|
10/05/2011|
10/05/2011|
09/05/2011|
09/05/2011|
09/05/2011|
09/05/2011|
08/05/2011|
08/05/2011|
29/04/2011|
29/04/2011|
21/04/2011|
21/04/2011|
16/04/2011|
13/04/2011|
13/04/2011|
13/04/2011|
12/04/2011|
11/04/2011|
10/04/2011|
09/04/2011|
07/04/2011|
03/04/2011|
31/03/2011|
23/03/2011|
19/03/2011|
26/02/2011|
23/02/2011|
23/02/2011|
21/02/2011|
21/02/2011|
21/02/2011|
18/02/2011|
10/02/2011|
30/01/2011|
30/01/2011|
29/01/2011|
23/01/2011|
21/01/2011|
17/01/2011|
16/01/2011|
12/01/2011|
12/01/2011|
06/01/2011|
04/01/2011|
03/01/2011|
02/01/2011|
31/12/2010|
29/12/2010|
28/12/2010|
26/12/2010|
26/12/2010|
19/12/2010|
18/12/2010|
13/12/2010|
07/12/2010|
19/11/2010|
17/11/2010|
17/11/2010|
31/10/2010|
26/10/2010|
25/10/2010|
24/10/2010|
19/10/2010|
04/10/2010|
30/09/2010|
30/09/2010|
19/09/2010|
17/09/2010|
13/09/2010|
13/08/2010|
11/08/2010|
11/08/2010|
07/08/2010|
02/08/2010|
01/08/2010|
01/08/2010|
01/08/2010|
30/07/2010|
30/07/2010|
30/07/2010|
22/07/2010|
18/07/2010|
16/07/2010|
11/07/2010|
11/07/2010|
11/07/2010|
09/07/2010|
08/07/2010|
07/07/2010|
01/07/2010|
29/06/2010|
23/06/2010|
22/06/2010|
20/06/2010|
20/06/2010|
20/06/2010|
19/06/2010|
17/06/2010|
16/06/2010|
15/06/2010|
14/06/2010|
13/06/2010|
05/06/2010|
03/06/2010|
02/06/2010|
26/05/2010|
15/05/2010|
15/05/2010|
13/05/2010|
13/05/2010|
12/05/2010|
06/05/2010|
03/05/2010|
02/05/2010|
30/04/2010|
24/04/2010|
24/04/2010|
07/04/2010|
06/04/2010|
05/04/2010|
03/04/2010|
25/03/2010|
24/03/2010|
18/03/2010|
04/03/2010|
21/02/2010|
16/02/2010|
16/02/2010|
22/01/2010|
22/01/2010|
21/01/2010|
15/01/2010|
14/01/2010|
14/01/2010|
13/01/2010|
12/01/2010|
28/12/2009|
21/12/2009|
19/12/2009|
08/12/2009|
08/12/2009|
01/12/2009|
01/12/2009|
27/11/2009|
27/11/2009|
22/11/2009|
22/11/2009|
08/11/2009|
16/10/2009|
13/09/2009|
28/08/2009|
27/08/2009|
26/08/2009|
17/08/2009|
16/08/2009|
14/08/2009|
14/08/2009|
14/08/2009|
14/08/2009|
12/08/2009|
12/08/2009|
09/08/2009|
09/08/2009|
08/08/2009|
08/08/2009|
08/08/2009|
08/08/2009|
07/08/2009|
07/08/2009|
24/07/2009|
24/07/2009|
23/07/2009|
23/07/2009|
21/07/2009|
21/07/2009|
17/07/2009|
17/07/2009|
17/07/2009|
17/07/2009|
17/07/2009|
03/04/2009|
01/04/2009|
31/03/2009|
31/03/2009|
27/03/2009|
27/03/2009|
26/03/2009|
17/03/2009|
17/03/2009|
15/03/2009|
15/03/2009|
14/03/2009|
14/03/2009|
14/03/2009|
14/03/2009|
08/03/2009|
08/03/2009|

ver + notas
 
Center for the Study of the Presidency
Freedom House