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16/07/2006 | Al Qaeda: Cashing in on the Indian Bombings

De Nuestra Redacción

Al Qaeda has established itself in the Indian state of Jammu and Kashmir, a man claimed in a phone call to a Kashmiri news agency July 13. The Indian government said the claim is credible. Al Qaeda is seizing the Mumbai rail bombings -- to which it was, at best, tangentially connected -- in order to tout its global reach to the rest of the world.

 

A man identifying himself as Abu-Al-Hadeed called Current News Service in Srinagar, Indian Kashmir, on July 13, claiming that al Qaeda has established a new operation in the Indian state of Jammu and Kashmir and congratulating the perpetrators of the July 11 Mumbai bombings. The caller identified Abu Abdul Rehman al-Ansari as the leader of al Qaeda in Jammu and Kashmir, and said all future communiques would be in Arabic, not Urdu, the language native to most of South Asia's Muslims. The Indian government later said the claim appeared credible.

That al Qaeda has created a base in Kashmir should come as no surprise, although it is highly doubtful the group was involved in the Mumbai attack. Responsibility for those bombings likely goes to Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) and Students' Islamic Movement of India (SIMI). Rather, al Qaeda is using the fear generated by the bombings to announce its presence in Kashmir and to hint at possible joint operations with SIMI and LeT in the future.

Osama bin Laden already has identified the region as a crucial front in the global jihadist war. However, any new al Qaeda group would be unable to operate independently in India because Indian Muslims generally have not bought into al Qaeda's worldwide jihad message -- and the few who have become militant already are established members of groups such as LeT and SIMI. In Kashmir, however, al Qaeda can rub elbows with LeT and SIMI, eventually coordinating an attack against India. Al Qaeda also could attract rogue members of the Pakistani security services.

As to the July 11 attacks, however, al Qaeda's involvement, if any, was as a source of funding and advice to LeT and SIMI, possibly through Dawood Ibrahim, the Indian Muslim gangster behind the 1993 Mumbai bombings.

Infuriating India makes good sense for al Qaeda. The network has suffered major setbacks in Iraq, including the June 7 killing of its leader in the country, Abu Musab al-Zarqawi. Russia then turned around and killed Chechen militant leader Shamil Basaye. Bin Laden and his deputy Ayman al-Zawahiri know they could be next. As Iraq slips out of its hands, its operations in Afghanistan go nowhere and its situation in Pakistan becomes more tenuous, al Qaeda badly needs at least one big strike if it is to maintain respect and draw in new recruits.

In al Qaeda's thinking, a hit against India also could prompt New Delhi to request foreign troop intervention in Pakistan -- with the tacit approval of Pakistan's government -- to clamp down on jihadists operating there. With foreign troops turning their country into a battleground, the Pakistani people would rise up -- presumably sending many over to the jihadist camp.

The plan is tenuous at best and probably would not work. The Congress-led government in New Delhi is not the same as the Hindu nationalist government that was in charge during the New Delhi parliament attacks in 2001. India is not likely to give al Qaeda the opportunity it so desperately needs. Al Qaeda's support base will remain limited geographically and numerically for the foreseeable future.

Offnews.info (Argentina)

 



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10/04/2005|
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30/03/2005|
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30/03/2005|
30/03/2005|
27/03/2005|
27/03/2005|
26/03/2005|
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18/03/2005|
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28/02/2005|
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29/01/2005|
27/01/2005|
27/01/2005|
27/01/2005|
27/01/2005|
26/01/2005|
26/01/2005|
15/01/2005|
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12/01/2005|
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09/01/2005|
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07/01/2005|
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04/01/2005|
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27/12/2004|
27/12/2004|
27/12/2004|
27/12/2004|
27/12/2004|
25/12/2004|
25/12/2004|
19/12/2004|
19/12/2004|
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19/12/2004|
18/12/2004|
18/12/2004|
13/12/2004|
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08/12/2004|
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29/11/2004|
28/11/2004|
28/11/2004|
28/11/2004|
28/11/2004|
28/11/2004|
19/11/2004|
19/11/2004|
18/11/2004|
18/11/2004|
12/10/2004|
10/10/2004|
10/10/2004|
03/10/2004|
24/08/2004|
24/08/2004|
14/08/2004|
14/08/2004|
26/04/2004|
26/04/2004|
11/04/2004|
11/04/2004|
04/02/2004|
04/02/2004|
10/12/2003|
10/12/2003|
05/11/2003|
05/11/2003|
10/10/2003|
06/10/2003|
01/08/2003|
01/08/2003|
28/07/2003|
28/07/2003|
28/07/2003|
28/07/2003|
23/07/2003|
09/07/2003|
24/06/2003|
24/06/2003|
18/06/2003|
18/06/2003|
03/06/2003|
01/06/2003|
17/03/2003|
17/03/2003|
22/02/2003|
22/02/2003|
23/01/2003|
23/01/2003|
15/01/2003|
01/01/2003|
01/01/2003|
01/01/2003|
01/01/2003|
01/08/2002|
01/08/2002|
01/08/2002|
01/08/2002|
19/07/2002|
19/07/2002|

ver + notas
 
Center for the Study of the Presidency
Freedom House