Fiction offers inspiration for countering Moscow’s new anti-satellite weapon.
Space weapons are coming. It should be no
surprise. Around 125 years ago H.G. Wells envisioned this era in his sci-fi
novel,
War of the Worlds. Recent
news of new Russian anti-satellite
capabilities makes Wells’ story read like prophecy. Based on the scant
public details offered by US intelligence officials and congressional members,
who were given access to classified information in February 2024, the
Russian weapon seems designed to employ EMP (electromagnetic pulse) technology
to disable orbiting satellites and create earthly chaos. National electric
grids, international communication networks and the worldwide internet would be
disrupted.
Yet the story disappeared from headlines
quickly, as public reaction peaked momentarily, then dissipated in the face of
other alarming war news from abroad, namely Israel and Ukraine. Still, why, if
this “new” danger is imminent, why only a muted reaction? Did millions of
people simply feel a sense of déjà vu, we have seen all this before? Maybe,
because in fact they had—in the 1995 James Bond movie, GoldenEye, with Pierce Brosnan as 007.
As the 20th century nears its end,
British intelligence (MI6) discovers that the Russian government has deployed
two nuclear EMP space weapons in orbit after a renegade Russian general
secretly activated one of them over Severnaya in Central Siberia. The blast
disabled British spy satellites and three Russian MiG fighter jets and
destroyed the weapons’ secret control center beneath them. The Russian
government is led to believe Siberian separatists are to blame, while the
British theorize a Russian crime syndicate was involved.
GoldenEye, a huge worldwide commercial success,
generated a comic book series, video games and an adaptation as a novel, and
still draws millions of eyeballs via Amazon Prime, with an 80 percent Rotten
Tomatoes approval rating. Although none of the film’s plot happened in real
life, the image of satellite-based weapons and the damage these could inflict
was imprinted in the minds of 1995 theatergoers and far beyond.
Origin Story
The idea of an EMP satellite as a central
element in the plot initially appeared in a draft script by Michael France, the
first of four screenwriters who contributed to the final shooting script. The
story pictures the rogue Russian general and crime syndicate teaming with an
embittered former British agent to hijack the GoldenEye satellite
weapons. Their plan is to use one to electronically rob England’s banks, wipe
out all records and collapse the country’s economy with an EMP attack.
In reality, the scientific basis for a
catastrophic EMP disruption has been known since the mid-19th century, and
nuclear explosion-generated EMP effects since World War II. Some of GoldenEye’s
other capabilities were likely based on public descriptions of directed energy
weapons associated with the U.S. Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI), dubbed
“Star Wars,” during the 1980’s.
Can fictional movies and television episodes
create a public consciousness cushion against otherwise startling disclosures
like nuclear space weapons? The fact is that for decades space weapons have
been incorporated into film and TV spy adventures, although few depicted such a
weapon as closely as the GoldenEye.
Space-based plots have a rich history in the
world of James Bond. The character's creator, Ian Fleming, incorporated
villainous threats involving rockets and nuclear missiles in some of his Bond
novels, notably Dr. No and Moonraker. While he's not known to have
contributed any space weapon ideas to the producers of the film series prior to
his death in 1964, the space-related element in his 1958 novel "Dr.
No" made it into the book's adaptation as the first big-screen Bond movie
in 1962. The story focuses on the villain's plan to "topple" NASA's
nascent space program with a ground-based atomic-powered radio beam to disrupt
NASA rocket launches. These particle beam concepts were among real SDI
technologies 25 years later.
In Diamonds Are
Forever (1971),
the SPECTRE chief Blofeld orbits a satellite that uses diamonds to amplify a
laser beam producing a capability to destroy any target on Earth. Lasers as
weapons on space platforms continue to be studied.
A similar weapon based on harnessing solar
energy appears in Die Another
Day (2002). This Bond idea of tapping
the sun’s rays was preceded by the “Heliobeam,”a rogue solar-powered weapon in
the 1966 Matt Helm spy spoof, Murderer’s Row.
Space weapons also appeared in popular
1960s-era TV spy shows. An episode of The Man from
U.N.C.L.E.
envisioned the “Thermal Prism,” an orbiting heat-beam weapon capable of
striking any location on the planet. Two episodes of Mission:
Impossible saw”
In Diamonds Are
Forever (1971),
the SPECTRE chief Blofeld orbits a satellite that uses diamonds to amplify a
laser beam producing a capability to destroy any target on Earth. Lasers as
weapons on space platforms continue to be studied.
A similar weapon based on harnessing solar
energy appears in Die Another
Day (2002). This Bond idea of tapping
the sun’s rays was preceded by the “Heliobeam,”a rogue solar-powered weapon in
the 1966 Matt Helm spy spoof, Murderer’s Row.
Space weapons also appeared in popular
1960s-era TV spy shows. An episode of The Man from
U.N.C.L.E.
envisioned the “Thermal Prism,” an orbiting heat-beam weapon capable of
striking any location on the planet. Two episodes of Mission:
Impossible saw”
In Diamonds Are
Forever (1971),
the SPECTRE chief Blofeld orbits a satellite that uses diamonds to amplify a
laser beam producing a capability to destroy any target on Earth. Lasers as
weapons on space platforms continue to be studied.
A similar weapon based on harnessing solar
energy appears in Die Another
Day (2002). This Bond idea of tapping
the sun’s rays was preceded by the “Heliobeam,”a rogue solar-powered weapon in
the 1966 Matt Helm spy spoof, Murderer’s Row.
Space weapons also appeared in popular
1960s-era TV spy shows. An episode of The Man from
U.N.C.L.E.
envisioned the “Thermal Prism,” an orbiting heat-beam weapon capable of
striking any location on the planet. Two episodes of Mission:
Impossible saw
the IMF team working to protect the world from nuclear and laser weapon
satellites.
The 2024 Russian weapon, if proven to be a real
threat, is but the latest iteration of offensive and defensive space
technologies that nations have been researching and developing for decades. In
1923, German physicist Hermann Oberth devised plans for a giant
orbiting concave mirror to focus sunlight onto the Earth. Although designed, he
claimed, for peaceful purposes, everyone understood if the technology worked,
the mirror could be weaponized.
Indeed, German scientists during World War II
adapted Oberth’s ideas to design a “sun gun” mega-weapon that they predicted
could set entire cities afire and cause the oceans to boil: A 100-meter
diameter mirror positioned 5100 miles above the earth would capture and
concentrate heat radiation from the sun and redirect the intense temperatures
to terrestrial targets. After learning of this plan, Lt. Col. John
A. Keck, the chief
of Allied technical intelligence on German weapons, told journalists:
"This will make Buck Rogers seem as if he lived in the Gay
'90s."
The Present Danger
More than 6000 reconnaissance, communications,
sensing and research satellites have been launched by nations and private
enterprises since 1967 but none have been classified as “space weapons.” This
is a somewhat arbitrary distinction since “everyone knows” hundreds of these
satellites support their sponsors’ intelligence and military operations
including targeting military sites and forces. Deployment of offensive space
weapons has, however, been effectively forestalled for more than half a century
by international adherence to the 1967 “Treaty on
Principles Governing the Activities of States in the Exploration and Use of
Outer Space, Including the Moon and Other Celestial Bodies,"initially signed by the U.S.,
U.K. and the Soviet Union (now joined by 14 nations as parties).
Public information about Russian capabilities
is vague, although nearly 70 years of satellite launches, space stations, moon
landings and probes to other planets have created the necessary knowledge,
infrastructure and advanced technologies for space weapons once confined to
sci-fi. The question of how other nations would respond to a confirmed
space-based weapons system, whether characterized as defensive or offensive, is
an unknown, possibly an unknowable unknown.
Both sci-fi and spy-fi “prophets” resolve
international dilemmas created by fictional space weapons with scenarios that
often contain a core of realism. In GoldenEye, cooperation among
the threatened countries enabled 007—with support from an American CIA
colleague—to locate, infiltrate and destroy a crime syndicate’s own camouflaged
satellite control center in Cuba. They are assisted by a Russian programmer,
Natalya Simonova, who covertly resets the second EMP satellite’s course,
causing it to burn up in Earth’s atmosphere. Whew.
In each of the noted fictional spy thrillers,
the good guys win. Futuristic space weapons are neutralized and villains
eliminated through combinations of alliances, interagency cooperation, human
agents, lethal covert actions, and cyber sabotage.
This returns us to a question of whether
fiction presents potential solutions to a satellite-based EMP danger from
Russia. While no one should expect an operational plan from movies, the films
offer hope. They show that alliances of imaginative spies applying the best
technology of the day can rescue the world from catastrophe. Since spy-fi once
anticipated space weapons, it may be worth going to the theater for ideas to
counter the present threat.