South America is entering a post-ideological phase.
Recent elections
in Argentina, Colombia and Uruguay have added to the sense that South America
is at a turning point, as mass protests have erupted in Ecuador, Chile and
Bolivia. Something is indeed happening in the region, but those who claim that
this is the return of the “pink tide”—the period in the early 2000s when
leftist governments were sweeping to power—are missing the point. What is
unfolding is not a counter-reformation, with the left reemerging after it was
toppled and replaced by the right. It is something more subtle and potentially
more lasting.
South
America is entering a post-ideological phase. In country after country over the
past decade or more, voters have given a chance to the left and the right. Now
they’re losing patience with both sides. The restlessness and discontent
visible in the streets and at the ballot box are evidence of an electorate that
has little interest in ideological orthodoxies, whether they come from
neoliberals or socialists. People want governments that produce results and
work for them, for everyone. The age of accepting corruption as an inescapable
fact of life in the region is over. Strong economic growth and other indicators
of progress are not enough, as the violent eruption of popular anger in Chile
makes clear.
Instead
of political oratory or advanced economics degrees, successful South American
leaders will now have to balance a new set of skills: results-oriented
management bolstered by a talent for projecting empathy, and all backed by
specific governing plans. When difficult decisions are needed, effective
leadership must be able to explain them to voters and earn their trust and
consent.
It’s
easy to paint recent events across South America as a comeback for the left.
After all, Argentina’s center-right president, Mauricio Macri, lost his
reelection bid to a ticket that included one of the leaders of the pink tide,
former President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner, who was running for vice
president this time. In Bolivia, President Evo Morales, another pink tide original,
claimed victory in contested elections earlier this month for a fourth
consecutive term. In Ecuador and Chile, mass protests triggered by increases in
the cost of basic services forced both governments to change course.
And yet,
despite dramatic reverses for right-of-center governments, voters seem to have
little desire to return to the days when leftist politicians, many of them
speaking the language of populism while showing a propensity for undercutting
democratic norms and refusing to give up power, promised to bring an end to
poverty and inequality. To be sure, that time at the turn of the millennium was
filled with promise. A commodities boom filled state coffers with cash for
desperately needed social programs, driving poverty down in countries like
Brazil and Chile. But when the boom went bust, those coffers quickly emptied
and unsustainable budget deficits created other problems.
At the
height of the pink tide, when Hugo Chavez cut a larger-than-life figure in
Venezuela and across the region, leftist governments held power from Ecuador to
Uruguay. But few voters today seem to yearn for a return to “21st-century
socialism,” as Chavez called it. In part, that’s the result of the disaster
that befell Venezuela. In the midst of a full-blown economic collapse and a
seemingly unsolvable political crisis that has driven millions of refugees and
migrants out of the country, Venezuela acts as a giant warning sign against a
return to those old ways.
The
recent election results show how discontent is manifesting itself in new ways.
In Colombia’s municipal elections last weekend, the most remarkable result was
the election of Claudia Lopez as the new mayor of Bogota, arguably the
second-most important political position in the country after president. Lopez,
who holds a doctorate from Northwestern University in Illinois, is a
center-left, anti-corruption fighter. She is also the first woman and the first
openly gay politician elected mayor of Colombia’s capital, where success or
failure are judged not by political ideology but by how well public
transportation functions, how safe the streets are and how well garbage is
collected. More than anything, the election in Bogota was a vote for good
governance, and voters rejected candidates of both the far right and the far
left.
In
Uruguay, the leftist Broad Front, which has been in power for 15 years, will
face a second-round runoff in the presidential race, as expected. Although the
Broad Front’s Daniel Martinez took the most votes in the first round, it was
not enough to avoid a runoff, and his conservative rivals now look set to join
forces. The left’s days may be numbered in Montevideo.
In
Argentina, Macri’s market-friendly policies and reform agenda failed, his
reelection all but doomed by the fact that the more investors feared the return
of Cristina Fernandez, the worse the economy did. As currency markets went into
a tailspin and inflation surged, Macri’s prospects sank and his rivals’ soared.
And yet, dogged by her own criminal prosecutions and concerns about a return to
her brand of economic populism, Cristina Fernandez was forced to find a running
mate for the top of the ticket as the only way to ensure victory. The next
president, Alberto Fernandez—no relation—may well follow a more pragmatic
course than she did.
In
Bolivia, Morales, one of the longest serving president in Latin America,
clearly defied the will of the people by staying in office. When he held a
referendum in 2016 on amending the constitution to allow him a fourth term, the
public rejected it. But Morales proceeded anyway after the Supreme Court
dubiously cleared the way. The vote-counting following the elections on Oct. 20
has looked suspicious, sparking huge protests. After initial returns suggested
Morales would have to face challenger Carlos Mesa in a runoff, the authorities
stopped publishing the results for nearly 24 hours. When the counting resumed,
it showed Morales winning outright. After a week of street demonstrations,
Morales now says he will allow a runoff if voter fraud is found.
The pink
tide is not washing ashore again in South America. Instead, voters are giving
up on leaders driven by hard ideology. They want clean government, and with it,
prosperity, security, less inequality and an end to corruption. Not
surprisingly, that’s what people the world over are demanding.
***Frida
Ghitis is a world affairs columnist. A former CNN producer and correspondent,
she is a regular contributor to CNN and The Washington Post. Her WPR column
appears every Thursday. Follow her on Twitter at @fridaghitis.