Inteligencia y Seguridad Frente Externo En Profundidad Economia y Finanzas Transparencia
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19/09/2014 | Paraguay - Counter-insurgency unit kills two in bungled raid

The Economist Staff

Members of the counter-insurgency unit, Fuerzas de Tarea Conjunta (FTC), killed two civilians in a raid on a house in the department of Concepción, in the heartland of territory controlled by the Ejército del Pueblo Paraguayo (EPP) a leftist guerrilla group. This has placed renewed focus on the government's unsuccessful efforts to rein in EPP activity.

 

Analysis

According to a spokesperson of the armed forces, the early evening raid on September 12th aimed to capture members of the high command of the EPP, who were allegedly holding a meeting there with a logistical support team. The house raided belonged to Marcos Ovelar (26), who was killed together with his brother, Hermenegildo Ovelar (31).

The two men were relatives of known EPP members. But family members injured in the attack have vehemently denied membership of the EPP and denounced the attack as yet another attempt by the security forces to instill fear in the local population. The bishop of Concepción denounced the deaths as an "execution".

The interior minister, Francisco de Vargas, has denied any cover-up by the FTC. He insists that there had been a shoot-out and said that arms, bullets and a military-style uniform had been recovered from the bodies. The public prosecutor, Federico Delfino, said that troops with night visors had identified two suspects that fled from the house.

This is, however, the sixth bungled EPP raid in the past year, and has drawn increasing criticism of the government's security policy. After obtaining greater freedom of action from Congress, the president, Horacio Cartes, launched a major counter-insurgency campaign against the EPP in September 2013. A year later, the FTC has failed to capture any of its leadership, and the guerrilla group continues its slow but steady growth.

The latest scandal over the FTC will increase the pressure on Mr Cartes to sack Mr de Vargas, who has long been under attack from the ruling Partido Colorado (PC) because he is a member of the opposition Partido Liberal Radical Auténtico (PLRA), with which Mr Cartes secured a governability pact in 2013.

Impact on the forecast

The latest events support our forecast that little progress will be made on eradicating the EPP in the forecast period. The issue will remain a thorn in Mr Cartes's side, and could well contribute to weakening popularity and more limited room for manoeuvre in Congress. 

The Economist (Reino Unido)

 



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01/09/2008|
01/09/2008|
22/08/2008|
22/08/2008|
17/08/2008|
17/08/2008|
16/08/2008|
16/08/2008|
28/07/2008|
28/07/2008|
28/07/2008|
28/07/2008|
28/07/2008|
28/07/2008|
19/07/2008|
19/07/2008|
24/05/2008|
24/05/2008|
03/05/2008|
03/05/2008|
29/04/2008|
11/02/2008|
05/01/2008|
09/12/2007|
18/11/2007|
10/11/2007|
10/11/2007|
06/11/2007|
06/11/2007|
06/09/2007|
26/08/2007|
25/08/2007|
11/07/2007|
16/06/2007|
16/06/2007|
10/06/2007|
10/06/2007|
19/05/2007|
19/05/2007|
19/05/2007|
19/05/2007|
24/04/2007|
24/04/2007|
14/04/2007|
14/04/2007|
05/04/2007|
05/04/2007|
05/04/2007|
28/02/2007|
28/02/2007|
05/02/2007|
05/02/2007|
04/02/2007|
04/02/2007|
04/02/2007|
04/02/2007|
04/02/2007|
04/02/2007|
29/01/2007|
29/01/2007|
29/01/2007|
29/01/2007|
11/01/2007|
11/01/2007|
11/01/2007|
11/01/2007|
27/12/2006|
27/12/2006|
27/12/2006|
27/12/2006|
27/12/2006|
27/12/2006|
20/12/2006|
20/12/2006|
17/11/2006|
30/09/2006|
28/07/2006|
12/04/2006|
12/04/2006|
12/04/2006|
06/03/2006|
21/02/2006|
17/02/2006|
31/01/2006|
10/01/2006|
28/12/2005|
31/10/2005|
26/09/2005|
29/08/2005|
11/08/2005|
08/08/2005|
24/06/2005|
24/06/2005|
24/06/2005|
03/04/2005|
03/04/2005|
03/04/2005|
03/04/2005|

ver + notas
 
Center for the Study of the Presidency
Freedom House